Will COVID-19 Completely End In Pakistan By September 2020?

A Singapore University Predicts COVID-19 Could End In Pakistan by June

Finally some positive news! According to the Singapore University of Technology and Design’s (SUTD) data-drive estimates that are based on Artificial Intelligence (AI), the COVID-19 pandemic may conclude in Pakistan by June 8, 2020.

The study also added the total number of COVID-19 cases in Pakistan would be reduced to 99 percent by June 23. Moreover, there will be a 100 percent eradication of COVID-19 cases in Pakistan by September 1 of this year.

The SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model was used for estimating the data. According to the university’s website that calculated the data-driven estimates, the SIR model is regressed based on the data derived from various countries across the world. This helped to estimate the key transition dates during the life cycle of the pandemic throughout the world.

The model uses data from ‘Our world in data’ and ‘Code from Milan Batista.’ It then applies the SIR Model for the spread of disease to predict when the pandemic would end in different countries around the world. The website also stated that the estimates are updated daily with the latest data. The university added that predictions and analysis are for educational and research purposes only.

Estimated end of COVID-19 outbreak for other countries

The study also predicted the estimated end of the COVID-19 for other countries across the world. The university added the COVID-19 outbreak could end by 97 percent in the U.S.A by May 11. The pandemic will end in the UK by May 9th, Iran by May 10th and Turkey by May 15th.

As per its calculations, the COVID-19 will 100% end across the world in December of the running year.

Number of COVID-19 increase in Pakistan

According to the National Command and Control Center (NCOC), more than 474 cases of coronavirus were reported in the last 24 hours in Pakistan. 8 out of those reported patients succumbed to the disease in the last 24 hours.

Source: Dawn

In Pakistan, the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases have witnessed a sharp increase. As of April 27, the total number of COVID-19 cases in Pakistan have risen to 13,323. The total number of recovered cases in Pakistan stood at 3029 while the death tally stands at 281. As per details, 21 percent of the cases have foreign travel history while 79 percent of the cases are reported to be locally transmitted.

Even though the total death toll has increased, the numbers still suggest that there is room to combat the COVID-19 outbreak in Pakistan. However, it will require the provinces and the center to make the right decisions at the right time. Let’s hope for the best.

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